1. Bundestag vote sept 29–>implications for euro and its generally inverse relation with the dollar. Furthermore EWG–at the moment I don’t see many better investments than Germany. Need to study EWG more and make a trade plan. The tricky part here is a weakening euro… might be too complicated for my taste. Shorting FXF for example forces me to watch /E7, /DX, and EUR:CHF and the mathematical relations are a headache. Nevertheless again, I don’t see many better investments than Germany.
2. Obama speech Thurs–can’t even guess the implications
3. FOMC Sept. 20, Nov. 1-2 and Dec. 13.–>any even vague hint of easing will trigger a big rally
AND….
4. EWL–I foresee a flight out of Swiss currency and into Swiss assets. With a depreciating currency assets will appreciate, beause the high franc was crippling the Swiss economy. With this out of the way and a cheaper franc, the economy should get an adrenaline boost… additionally people (the Swiss and those holding francs) will want to avoid capital destruction. Basically the SNB is conducting a form of quantitative easing. Need to form trade plan. The risk/reward isn’t as appealing as with EWG, however.