It’s Jan 9 and I checked out around Dec 19 or so. So I’ve been on vacation for a while. I do still continuously watch the markets. iphones are very handy for this.
Anyway I’m thinking of returning to my desk. Actually I have the Wall St Journal next to me.
Seasonal patterns suggest a dip now. However the market has been reacting a bit early with its seasonal patterns. In recent months, mind you. For example the Nov rally began in Oct.
I clearly see a bull flag forming on Dow /YM daily futures. If you squint you can also see a cup-and-handle in the daily /YM.
GE has major resistance at about 18.90. GE has almost 100% correlation with the Dow.
My primary trading strategy for some time has been McClellan’s eurodollar fractal. I expect the market to consolidate or go down a little, for maybe a few days. And then I would expect there be more to this rally.
The best time to trade the market is Nov-Apr. The market has a statistical proclivity to rise right now.
Bear in mind, our GE options are for Mar. So I still have a 2 month window.
The Dow priced in dollars appears to be in a very tightening flag and poised or breakout: